the yanks have 54.5 wins (Baltimore). If you gave the Yanks little to no shot why would I dare throw the 8 games back twins? There is a big difference between where the Yankees stand and where the twins stand. You mistakenly think I think the yanks will steam roll into a wild card. All im saying is that its not over and we have a shot. Once again what is so arrogant about that coming for a Yanks fan? Nothing. But all the indians have to do is do what they have alll year and they have it all won. Simple as that right?
Because you guys live in the realm of "anything could happen" so why wouldn't you throw everybody in? I mean your arguement is that a .535 team is going to turn into a .670 and sustain that for 60 games... so why not throw some other unlikely scenarios in the mix? Why not the Jays... hell over the past 5 games they're the hottest team in baseball. Yeah that BIG difference between the Yanks and Twins is 3 games. Strangley enough though the 4.5 game difference between the Yankees and Indians is apparently not a BIG differnce though. Seems like a double standard to me. I said I applaud your attitude, and never once said this is over with. I think the Yankees will hang on and tease you guys for a while, but when they hit that dreadful 3 weeks in late August early Sept... the party will be over.
Thats where your mistaken. My argument is not the Yanks have to get to 95 wins and play .670 ball. Thats your argument. My argument is that the Indians arent a good enough team to run away with it and the Yanks are still in it. Buddy 4 games in baseball is not a bleak deseperate situation. A couple more weeks of strong baseball and a good series versus cleveland and where right there. You make light of the Twins and Yanks and say the 3 games between the Yanks n Twins are no big difference but to you the Yanks have to have a miracle to comeback from 4 games. Your the one with the double standard. Do the Yanks have a shot or is the damn wild card over already? If you give the Jays or Twins a shot the Yanks have a shot. The whole all the Indians have to do argument is weak. Bottom line, is if thw Yanks had won tonight they would be 3 games back in the loss. N of course you would tell me how that is still impossible.
It's funny because you two keep tearing down my projection for the ALWC but neither one of you has given yours. You said you were going to compare rosters or something, that never happened either... basically you've made no case why it could work out the way you're saying except to say you're the Yankees and the Indians closer is no good. Is it really that irrational to predict the Yankees won't sustain the current pace over 2 more months against increased competition? Is it really that irrational to project the wild card at 95 wins when the lead team is on pace for 95 and the recent history shows it a reasonable benchmark? I don't think so. If you're saying 3 games is a big difference and in one case but 4 games is doable... you're the one with two standards. My point has been consistent, the Yanks won't reach 95 wins. You don't even have an arguement... all your saying is anything is possible. At least I'm putting forth my opiniopn and giving some reasoning. You've yet to even make a predictions on what it will take to win the WC in 3 pages.
My prediction, the Yanks will win the wildcard without having to win 95 games. Im just going having to agree to disagree b/c you feel that 4 games is way too many games for the Yanks to make up and there is really no difference between the Yanks n Twins n Jays but there is a major difference between the Yanks n Indians
Why is that three weeks dreadful? It's not like any one of those teams is playing well although Boston will always be tough. I think you continue to base your entire argument on what teams did in April and May and totally dismiss anything after June 1st, either for the Yankees or the teams they are chasing. Detroit and Cleveland are playing .500 ball. LA has lost 7 of their last 10 and Seattle? Well they have lost 7 in a row. Boston continues to play good but I already said they would be tough.
So, the Yankees appear to be shopping Damon now and have a couple of interested partners. I guess it's a salary dump although they will have to pay some portion to pull it off. Cabrerra is the CF going forward as he should be. Just not sure what value they can possibly get out of dumping Damon but there's no spot for him, not even DH, once Giambi comes back.
Why not go out on a limb and have a little fun by giving us some numbers here... you guys are so certain I'm wrong... how many wins do the yanks finish with? Don't try to spin this... you're the one who said there was a big difference in 3 games... I simply pointed out your double standard. Personally I think they're all out of it... I've said that repeatedly.
If I need to tell you why 13 games in a row against first place teams is going to be more difficult then the games you've been playing against KC and TB lately then there's no sense in continuing this conversation. You're the same guy talking about strength of schedule earlier, right? I'm looking at what these team have done in the past 100 games, not 2 months or 10 games like you are. Just as I pointed out... you're looking at 10 games. I've made my point repeatedly in this thread... I'll check back in a few weeks and see how things work out.
FYI... the strength of schedule evalution has the Yanks with a slightly less difficult schedule then the Tribe going forward. http://www.playoffstatus.com/mlb/americansosrg.html Pretty cool website.
